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Study estimates 471 deaths in Portugal until August (and the peak was reached at 3 …

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Study estimates 471 deaths in Portugal until August (and the peak was reached at 3 ...

Massimo Percossi / EPA

According to the study's estimates, about 151,680 people will die in Europe during the “first wave” of the disease.

A study disclosed this Tuesday in the United States estimates that the covid-19 will cause 471 deaths in Portugal by August 4. The same investigation also indicates that the peak daily death toll was reached last Friday, April 3.

In view of the official figures released this Tuesday by the Directorate-General for Health (DGS), which indicate 345 deaths, the projections of researchers from the Institute for Health Evaluation and Metrics (IHME), from the University of Washington, in the United States, point to for another 126 deaths over the next three months.

The study states that the mathematical model used for the estimates, which were made for several countries, “demonstrates that, although Portugal did not have a total lack of beds, it did not have enough intensive care units (ICU) for the demand, with the peak to come with the lack of 118 beds on April 3 “.

At European level, IHME estimates that the daily peak of the death rate due to the covid-19 pandemic will be reached in the third week of April. According to estimates, about 151,680 people will die in Europe during the “first wave” of the disease. For the United States, an estimated 81,766 deaths.

The new coronavirus has already infected more than 1.3 million people worldwide, of whom more than 75,000 have died. Of the infection cases, about 290 thousand are considered cured. The European continent, with about 708 thousand infected and more than 55 thousand dead, is where the greatest number of cases is registered, and Italy is the country in the world with more fatalities, accounting for 16,523 deaths in 132,547 confirmed cases until Monday. market.

Spain is the second country with the highest number of deaths, registering 13,798 deaths, among 140,510 confirmed cases of infection to date, while the United States, with 10,994 deaths, accounts for the most infected (368,449).

China, apart from the territories of Hong Kong and Macau, has 81,740 cases and reports 3,331 deaths. Chinese authorities announced on Tuesday 32 new cases, all from abroad.

In Portugal, according to the balance made this Tuesday by the Directorate-General for Health, there were 345 deaths, 34 more than the day before (+ 10.9%), and 12,442 cases of confirmed infections, which represents an increase 712 compared to Monday (+ 6%). Of those infected, 1,180 are hospitalized, 271 of whom are in intensive care units, and 184 patients have already recovered.

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